What the 2016 Trump vs. Clinton U.S. Election will come down to

Yes, Trump has had his post-convention bounce... But I think most Bernie supporters will still get in line behind Clinton. Michelle Obama's speech at the DNC was extraordinary. I think it will do more to unite the Democrats than Bernie's warm-tepid-warm endorsement of Hillary.

In the end, Clinton will get her own post-convention bounce (which is not guaranteed, mind you, and especially in this age where attention is so fragmented) and top Trump in the near-term polling. At the time of writing Trump was ahead in the polls-- CNN/ORC had him up by 3 points. 

My prediction: if there is a major terrorist attack on U.S. soil leading up to election night Trump will win; if not, Hillary will win. I think that's what it will come down to.

Ted Cruz, 2020 and a Master Politician

He said: " I am not in the habit of supporting people who attack my wife and attack my father."

So, so improbable he wouldn't eventually fall in line. Whoa. Ted has got some mojo. This is the 2020 game. And he is betting Trump loses BIG in November. A close race and CRUZ will be the spoiler and the vitriol he has currently incited will look like a routine dental checkup, versus the Tijuana Root Canal that he might have in store...

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